Specific Purpose: To persuade the audience to reject the resolution.
Introduction:
I. There are several implications that could result if the affirmative plan is enforced and the foreign policy towards the PeopleÆs Republic of China is changed.
II. Resolved: That the United States Government should substantially change itÆs foreign policy towards the PeopleÆs Republic of China.
III. The foreign policy with the PeopleÆs Republic of China does not need to be changed.
Body:
I. Changing foreign policy between China and the U.S. is unnecessary and could cause
trouble
A. China is an essential U.S. trade partner
1. Decreasing trade with China could result in lower U.S. economic
opportunities
a. ôTaking away MFN would hurt both the Chinese and the U.S. economies because Beijing would retaliate against American firms better creating a multi billion dollar market in China.ö
1. Church, George. ôTwisting Off the Hookö. Time May 27, 1994.
2. U.S. companies need ChinaÆs business
b. ôContinuing MFN treatment of the PRC is more practical - to insure
U.S. firms are able to participate more in the rising economic
opportunities in that area.ö
1. Weidenbaum, Murray. ôThe Rise of Greater China, A New Economic Growth.ö Current December 1993.
B. China has a strong economy which needs not to be altered
1. China could be the forth largest economic power by the year 2010.
a. ôChina has become the fastest growing part of the world, averaging 5% a year in real economic growth. Many observers expect this trend to continue for at least the rest of this decade and persist well into the 21st century.ö
1. Weidenbaum, Murray. ôThe Rise of Greater China, A New Economic Superpowerö. Current December 1993.
2. China is a major trade power
b. ôZbiginew Bryeyzinski noted that, if the current ten percent economic growth rate of the PRC is maintained, and assuming the successful assimilation of Hong Kong, the PRC
could become the fourth largest global economic power by the year 2010, after the U.S., Europe and Japan.ö
1. Weidenbaum, Murray. ôThe Rise of Greater China, A New
Economic Superpowerö. Current December 1993.
C. The Chinese Economic Area is a big trading partner with the U.S.
1. Maintaining trade with China is important to the U.S.
a. ôThe CEA is the seventh largest economy in the world, with a combined GNP of $809.8 billion for 1995, and it constitutes the third largest trading partner for the U.S. - the forth largest export market and the third largest supplier.ö
1. Lee, Paul. ôThe Chinese Economy Area, A Big Emerging Marketö. Business America October 1994 pp.18-19.
D. China is an industrial powerhouse
1. China has a booming industry
a. ôInvestment and enterprises channeled from Hong Kong has turned southern China into one of the industrial powerhouses of Asia.ö
1. William Purves, quoted in ôThe Rise of Greater China, A New Economic Superpower.ö Current December 1993.
E. Changing the status quo could result in war
1. China is a threat to the U.S.
a. ôChina is one of the five declared nuclear weapon states and is a growing military power.ö
1. State Dispatch, July 24, 1995. pp.587-590
2. China has the largest military
a. ôThe PeopleÆs Liberation Army is approximately 3 million strong
and is the worldÆs largest military force.ö
1. Encarta 1995.
II. Human Rights
A. China is on the way to improving human rights
1. There is a group to monitor human rights in China
a. ôThere is the HRIC (Human Rights in China) which monitors
the PeopleÆs Republic of ChinaÆs human rights.ö
1. Reuter, Paul. ôHuman Rights Policy Toward Chinaö. Time, July 24, 1994, pg.56.
2. A slow and steady change is best for China
a. ôHuman rights is a western standard set up by the General Assembly of the United States in 1948. In a number of oriental
countries (not just China) human rights are far away from itÆs standard of the Western countries because they stem from the Western culture. The U.S. and other Western countries evaluate
human rights on their own standards. This is unfair to China. China is trying to adapt change for the better.ö
1. Professor Richard Chadwick, U.S. Human Rights Policy
Towards China. October, 1994:AOL Newstand.
III. Piracy
A. Plans for reducing piracy have already been made
1. The issues contained within the plans are very promising
a. ôThe U.S. and China have signed an agreement on intellectual
property. Under the agreement China will take steps to crack down on the piracy, enforce intellectual property rights, and provide more open acess for exporters.ö
1. (Weekly compilation of Presidential documents) Bill Clinton,
March 6, 1995 pg. 319.
2. China is in fact halting piracy
a. ôAfter years of allowing software piracy to flourish, China now hopes
to meet international standards.ö
1. Lovenworth, Stanton. National Law Journal, June 5, 1995 pp. c26-c28.
B. There is no need time on new policies or plans
1. Plans have already taken affect
a. ôChina has completed the 6-month anti-piracy enforcement agreed upon with the U.S. trade representative.ö
1. Clark-Meads, Jeff. Billboard September 30, 1995. pg. 1.
C. Some safeguards are already in effect
1. SID codes break the pirates
a. ôThe voluntary source indentification process (SID) code process
for CDÆs has a four digit ôfinger printö that allows authorities to trace the master and pressing the plant in an attempt to solve the piracy problem. SIDÆs biggest test is underway in China and so far the results look promising.ö
1. Serwer, Andrew R. Can China Change ItÆs Cheating Heart?
Commonwealth May 5, 1995. pp. 17-18.
Conclusion:
I. The status quo is fine how it is. Changing the status qou could result in major conflicts
with China. China is currently trying to fix the problems that it has. The status quo is
already acceptable because China is a progressing and improving nation that is fixing
